European Journal of Public Health
◐ Oxford University Press (OUP)
Preprints posted in the last 90 days, ranked by how well they match European Journal of Public Health's content profile, based on 20 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.03% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Beneito Insa, A.; Sarzo, B.; Beneyto, R.; Abumallouh, R.; Marin, N.; Alvarez, O.; Molina-Barcelo, A.; Vanaclocha-Espi, M.; Freire, C.; Ballester, F.; Esplugues, A.; Lopez-Espinosa, M.-J.
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BackgroundMenarche is a critical developmental milestone, with earlier onset associated with adverse long-term health consequences. Despite a reported global decline in age at menarche over the last century, this trend and its determinants remain insufficiently studied in Spain. ObjectiveTo assess secular trends in age at menarche and its determinants in the Valencian Community, Spain. MethodsThis population-based study included 417,260 participants born between 1931 and 2008. First, secular trends in age at menarche were assessed using time-series models across 5-year birth cohorts for the overall population. Then, participants were categorized as either women (born 1931-1985) or girls (born 1990-2008), and Bayesian linear regression models were fitted for each group, adjusting for birth cohort and continent of birth in all models, and additionally for educational level in women and body mass index (BMI) in girls. ResultsMean age at menarche decreased by 1.9 years, from 13.1 to 11.1, between the 1931-1935 and 2006-2008 birth cohorts, with a steeper decline after 1975. Compared to Europeans, women born in South/Central America ({beta}[95% CI]: 0.33[0.30, 0.36] years) and Africa (0.52[0.45, 0.58] years) experienced later menarche, while girls from South/Central America experienced earlier onset (-0.18[-0.28, -0.09] years). In girls, lower BMI was associated with later menarche (0.96[0.74, 1.18] years) and higher BMI with earlier onset (-0.53[-0.57, -0.48] years). ConclusionThere was a marked decline in age at menarche in the Valencian Community, with no evidence of leveling off. Key determinants included continent of birth (with cohort-specific effects) and BMI.
Hardie, I.; Marryat, L.; Murray, A.; King, J.; Okelo, K.; Fenton, L.; Boardman, J. P.; Wilson, P.; Wood, R. P.; Auyeung, B.
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BackgroundThe COVID-19 pandemic was associated with increased child developmental concerns in Scotland. However, it is not known whether this increase was uniform across social groups, and there is particular concern that children from low-income households, urban areas and ethnic minority groups may have been disproportionately affected. This retrospective, population-based, cohort study aimed to examine whether the pandemic was associated with changes in developmental inequalities in Scotland. Study designWe linked national birth records, the COVID-19 in Pregnancy in Scotland (COPS) dataset, and 13-15 month and 27-30 month child health review records, covering all children born in Scotland who undertook reviews between January 2019 and August 2023 and had full developmental data. Logistic regression models estimated inequalities in odds of developmental concerns, before, during and after the pandemic and across Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD) quintiles, parental National Statistics Socioeconomic Classification (NS-SEC), urban-rural classification, child ethnicity and child sex. Interaction analysis formally tested for any significant changes in inequalities. FindingsThe analyses included 254,367 children, covering 13-15 month child health review records for 183,439 children and 27-30 month child health review records for 184,689 children. Children in more deprived SIMD quintiles and lower parental NS-SEC categories had significantly higher odds of developmental concerns, as did African and Asian children (at 27-30 months only). Children who were female and in rural areas (27-30 months only) had significantly lower odds of developmental concerns. Developmental inequalities were broadly consistent at each time point and interaction analysis suggested that there was no widening of inequalities during or after the pandemic. ConclusionsDevelopmental inequalities in Scotland did not widen during or after the COVID-19 pandemic. However, substantial pre-existing inequalities persist, underscoring the need for interventions to reduce disparities and support national policy goals on child development.
Marraffa, P.; Marega, L.; Politano, G.; Gianino, M. M.
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In an era in which population ageing, rising healthcare costs and growing global health challenges are pressing global issues, the main aim of our article is to analyze trends in preventive care expenditures from 2004 to 2023 in 22 European countries, examining whether specific health systems are associated with different time trends in preventive care expenditures over the considered time. Although there are few studies investigating this issue adopting the standard tripartite classification, to our knowledge, this is the first study to explore the topic using the latest classification of healthcare systems proposed by Bohm. We performed a time trend analysis using secondary data from 22 European OECD countries during a twenty-year period (2004-2023); in addition, a hierarchical semi-log polynomial mixed-effects regression analysis has been performed, including annual country-level % preventive expenditures in association with the three structural dimensions -- regulation, financing and provision -- according to Bohms classification as explanatory variables. Our results indicate that, in terms of compound annual rate, most countries exhibited an increase in % of preventive expenditures (between 0.2% and 3.7%), while seven countries denounced a decrease (between -6.3% and -0.2%) during the considered period. The regression analysis shows that the trend of % preventive expenditures did not differ in two of the three dimensions under study: financing and provision. In contrast, in countries with statal regulation, the curvilinear trend was more pronounced than in countries with statal regulation (b=0.0035; 95% CI= 0.0013, 0.0057). In conclusion, there is no correlation between the type of healthcare system and the share of expenditure allocated to prevention activities in the countries analysed; a resulting implication is that investment in prevention is not intrinsically determined by the organisational structure of the healthcare system, but responds to external factors. Key questionsO_ST_ABSWhat is already known on this topic?C_ST_ABSPreventive care represents a relatively small share of total health expenditure in most OECD countries, despite its recognized importance in addressing public health issues. Previous studies attempted to explore cross-country differences in preventive spending and the potential role of healthcare system organization, often using traditional classifications (e.g., Beveridge or Bismarck). However, evidence remains limited and no studies have examined long-term trends using current multidimensional classifications of healthcare systems. What does this study add?By analyzing trends in preventive care expenditures over a twenty-year period across 22 European OECD, our study showed trends in the share of spending on prevention were largely independent of the structural characteristics of healthcare systems. Among the analyzed dimensions, only the regulation showed a more pronounced curvilinear trend in countries with societal regulation. How this study might affect research, practice or policy?Since the findings suggest that investment in prevention may depend more on contextual factors such as political priorities and public health strategies rather than structural characteristics of healthcare systems, policymakers should therefore promote prevention through targeted policy commitment instead of relying on health system design alone.
Kosola, S.; Salonen, S.; Miettinen, J.; Horhammer, I.; Impio, A.-R.; Kumpulainen, S. M.; Sergejeff, J.; Numari, S.; Laitinen-Parkkonen, P.; Tapola-Haapala, M.; Aaltio, E.; Thorn, L.
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Introduction Education is a core social determinant of health for children and adolescents. Unfortunately, academic achievement, health, and wellbeing of adolescents have decreased in many developed countries in the past decade. The purpose of the Wellbeing and Education linkages in school-aged children (WELL-ED) study is to examine associations of school absences and academic achievement with use of school-based and community-based health and social welfare services. In addition, we will assess user experiences and multi-sector services pathways of school-aged children for a better understanding of how the service system could respond to the needs of children. Methods and analysis WELL-ED is a large population-based study that combines register data on school absences and educational support from municipalities with register data on healthcare and social service use collected from wellbeing services counties in Finland. The study cohort includes all children who attended mandatory education in public schools in Southern Finland in school year 2023-2024. A smaller cohort of adolescents in school year 8 was invited to complete a user experience survey. The primary outcomes of this study are related to equity of service use. Ethics and dissemination The Regional Committee on Medical Research Ethics of the Helsinki and Uusimaa Hospital District (2803/2024) has approved the WELL-ED study protocol. For the survey, adolescents in year 8 and parents of adolescents younger than 15 provided informed consent. Results will be published in peer-reviewed journals, summaries will be sent to participating municipalities and wellbeing services counties and press releases will be written on key findings.
Pietilainen, O.; Salonsalmi, A.; Rahkonen, O.; Lahelma, E.; Lallukka, T.
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Key points1) Women get to spend more healthy years on retirement, but no clear occupational class gradient could be seen. 2) Retiring early to statutory retirement is associated with more healthy years on retirement. 3) Policies aiming to change the retirement age should consider the equitability and effects on the health of the retirees. ObjectivesLonger lifespans lead to longer time on retirement, despite the efforts to raise the retirement age. Therefore, it is important to study how the retirement years can be spent without diseases. This study examined socioeconomic and sociodemographic differences in healthy years spent on retirement. MethodsWe followed a cohort of retired Finnish municipal employees (N=4231, average follow-up 15.4 years) on national administrative registers for major chronic diseases: cancer, coronary heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, diabetes, asthma or chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, dementia, mental disorders, and alcohol-related disorders. Median healthy years on retirement and age at first occurrence of illness (ICD-10 and ATC-based) in each combination of sex, occupational class, and age of retirement were predicted using Royston-Parmar models. Prevalence rates for each diagnostic group were calculated. ResultsMost healthy years on retirement were spent by women having worked in semi-professional jobs who retired at age 60-62 (median predicted healthy years 11.6, 95% CI 10.4-12.7). The least healthy years on retirement were spent by men having worked in routine non-manual jobs who retired after age 62 (median predicted healthy years 6.5, 95% CI 4.4-9.5). Diabetes was slightly more common among lower occupational class women, and dementia among manual working women having retired at age 60-62. DiscussionHealthy years on retirement are not enjoyed equally by women and men and those who retire early or later. Policies aiming to increase the retirement age should consider the effects of these gaps on retirees and the equitability of those effects.
Sterr, K.; Blaschke, S.; Hess, D.; Lux, L.; Brandmeier, A.; Mess, F.
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Abstract Background: Schools are widely recognised as key settings for promoting childrens health behaviours. However, many schools struggle with the implementation and especially sustainment of health promotion programmes e.g. due to limited resources. Strengthening schools capacity for health promotion has therefore been identified as a central strategy for achieving better implementation and ultimately behaviour change outcomes among children. The fit4future Kids programme was developed as a large-scale, multi-component initiative in Germany that aims to promote childrens physical activity, nutrition, mental health, and responsible digital media use while simultaneously supporting schools in building structures for sustainable health promotion. Methods: This paper describes the intervention and evaluation protocol of the nationwide fit4future Kids programme implemented in several cohorts of German primary schools from Sept. 2022 to Sept. 2027. The intervention is based on the Health Promoting Schools framework and integrates established implementation and behaviour change frameworks, including the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research, the COM-B model, and Behaviour Change Techniques. The programme combines curricular materials, environmental components, and structured implementation support to facilitate the integration of health promotion into everyday school practice. The evaluation follows a mixed-methods design involving multiple stakeholder groups, including school staff, parents, and children. Quantitative and qualitative data are collected to assess implementation processes, contextual factors, and programme outcomes. The large and diverse sample of 1,153 participating primary schools allows for the exploration of different implementation trajectories and the investigation of potential equity-related effects. Discussion: By combining evidence-based health promotion strategies with implementation science approaches, fit4future Kids provides a large-scale real-world example of how schools can be supported in implementing sustainable health promotion. The evaluation is expected to generate important insights into the implementation and potential effectiveness of multi-component school-based interventions and to inform future initiatives aiming to strengthen health-promoting school environments.
Barbieri, V.; Piccoliori, G.; Engl, A.; von Strobele Prainsack, D. H.; Wiedermann, C. J.
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Background School stress and psychosomatic complaints are linked and increase in high-income countries, with differences between countries. Evidence of how these parameters develop in Italy, particularly through combined parental and self-reported perspectives across age and gender, is limited. Methods A population-based online survey investigated school stress and psychosomatic complaints in children and adolescents aged 6-19 years, analyzing proxy- and self-reported data based on standardized validated instruments. Data was stratified by gender and age for children (6-10), early adolescents (11-14), and late adolescents (15-19). Results For early and late adolescents, the gender gap was evident, with higher levels of stress and health complaints in late adolescent girls. In this group, 56% of the girls self-reported rather/high school stress, and 43% of the boys. Parents perceived school stress and psychosomatic problems of their children as less severe than adolescents themselves. Parents stated a higher effect of parental help with school problems, and a lower effect of physical activity and digital media use on their childrens psychosomatic problems. Physical activity was related to fewer psychosomatic complaints, especially in girls. Conclusions This study identified late adolescent girls as vulnerable group, underscoring the critical need for gender-specific early prevention strategies starting in childhood, particularly for families with lower socioeconomic status. Parental perspectives may underestimate adolescents stress levels and psychosomatic well-being. In early adolescence, less digital media use may prevent psychosomatic problems, in late adolescence, physical activity may be a preventive method. Further longitudinal investigations should put a special focus on self- and proxy-reported perspectives.
Yu, J.; McCann, M.; Clesham, M.; Fewtrell, M.
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Background: The COVID-19 pandemic caused major disruptions to maternity care, breastfeeding support, and social networks. These changes may have increased the risk of postpartum depression, anxiety, and stress among breastfeeding mothers, a population that has been underrepresented in previous reviews. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to compare maternal mental health outcomes among breastfeeding mothers before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Methods: We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, AMED, Web of Science, WanFang Data, MedRxiv, WHO COVID-19 databases, and grey literature from database inception to December 2023. Eligible studies compared mental health outcomes in breastfeeding mothers before and during the COVID-19 pandemic using validated assessment tools, including the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale (EPDS), Generalized Anxiety Disorder Scale (GAD-7), State-Trait Anxiety Inventory (STAI), or Perceived Stress Scale (PSS). Studies with fewer than 10 participants per group were excluded. Two reviewers independently screened studies, extracted data, and assessed risk of bias using the Joanna Briggs Institute checklist or Newcastle-Ottawa Scale, depending on study design. Random-effects meta-analysis was performed when at least two studies reported comparable outcomes. Results: Twenty-three studies involving breastfeeding mothers from 15 countries were included. Meta-analysis showed significantly higher depressive symptoms during the pandemic compared with the pre-pandemic period, measured by EPDS (standardized mean difference [SMD] = 0.21, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.14 to 0.29). Maternal anxiety measured by GAD-7 was also significantly higher during the pandemic (SMD = 0.27, 95% CI 0.13 to 0.41). Findings for perceived stress were mixed across studies and could not be pooled because of heterogeneity in reporting methods. Limited evidence suggested that mother-infant bonding did not substantially decline during the pandemic despite increased maternal psychological distress. Conclusions: Breastfeeding mothers experienced increased postpartum depression and anxiety symptoms during the COVID-19 pandemic. These findings highlight the importance of maintaining breastfeeding support services, ensuring access to maternal mental health screening, and developing flexible models of postpartum care during future public health emergencies. PROSPERO registration: CRD42022354670.
Xia, X.; Balcha, Y. M.; Carballo-Casla, A.; Aho, E.; Willers, C.; Rydwik, E.; Calderon-Larranaga, A.; Kugelberg, S.; Berggreen-Clausen, A.; Garpsater, J.; Jonsson, L.
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Background The study aimed to estimate healthcare costs associated with malnutrition in Swedish older adults. Methods We conducted a cohort study using data from the population-based Swedish National Study on Aging and Care in Kungsholmen (SNAC-K, N = 2982), a geriatric inpatient cohort of complex patients (N = 7680), and a cohort of individuals with cognitive impairment from the Swedish Register of Cognitive/Dementia Disorders (SveDem, N = 64192). At risk of malnutrition and malnutrition were ascertained by the Mini-Nutritional Assessment in SNAC-K and the geriatric inpatient cohort. In SveDem, body mass index was used for identifying malnutrition. Healthcare resource use was derived from regional and national registers. Associations between malnutrition and healthcare costs in 2024 Swedish kronor (SEK) were analyzed using two-part models and generalized linear regression models, adjusting for demographic and clinical factors. Findings In the community, at risk of malnutrition and malnutrition were associated with an increase in annual healthcare costs of 2267 SEK (95% CI: 64,4469) and 1846 SEK (95% CI: -6802,10493), respectively. In geriatric patients, healthcare costs over 6 months in individuals at risk of malnutrition and individuals with malnutrition were 60205 SEK (45613,74798) and 86619 SEK (68362,104875) higher than those without malnutrition. In people with cognitive impairment, malnutrition was associated with higher annual healthcare costs (22170 SEK, 95% CI: 15152,29188). Interpretation Both at risk of malnutrition and malnutrition are associated with higher healthcare costs in Swedish older adults. The study findings are important for informing future economic evaluations of malnutrition interventions in Swedish older adults.
Falobi, A. A.; Hersi, O. O.; Ojo, O.
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Background Physical inactivity and sedentary behaviour are major contributors to non-communicable diseases (NCDs) and are unevenly distributed across populations, disproportionately affecting migrants and ethnic minority groups. Somali communities in the UK experience multiple structural and socio-economic disadvantages; however, evidence on physical activity and associated inequities remains limited. This study examined physical activity, sedentary behaviour, and related barriers and facilitators among Somali residents in Sheffield, United Kingdom. Methods A cross-sectional mixed-methods study was conducted among Somali adults (n = 238). Quantitative data were collected using the International Physical Activity Questionnaire Short Form (IPAQ-SF) and analysed using descriptive statistics and ordinal logistic regression. Qualitative data were obtained from two focus group discussions (n = 14) and analysed using inductive thematic analysis to explore socio-cultural, environmental, and structural determinants of physical activity. Results No statistically significant predictors of physical activity were identified in the adjusted analysis; however, consistent trends indicated lower activity levels among older adults and those in employment. Qualitative findings revealed multiple, intersecting barriers rooted in structural inequities, including migration-related lifestyle changes, reduced incidental activity, sedentary occupations, limited health literacy, language barriers, financial constraints, and gendered responsibilities. Cultural norms and environmental conditions further shaped behaviour. Facilitators included community-based, culturally tailored interventions, peer support, gender-sensitive programmes, and adaptation of traditional practices. Conclusion Somali residents in Sheffield face overlapping structural and socio-cultural barriers to physical activity that are not fully captured by quantitative measures alone. Equity-oriented, culturally competent, and community-led interventions addressing both systemic and behavioural determinants are essential to improve access to physical activity and reduce health inequalities and NCD risk.
Mohebbi, D.; Vomhof, M.; Montalbo, J.; Winkels, A. K.; Gontscharuk, V.; Chernyak, N.; Dintsios, C.-M.; Kairies-Schwarz, N.; Stark, R.; Emmert-Fees, K. M. F.; Fan, M.; Schick, R.; Schürmann, A.; Bornstein, S.; Heni, M.; Stefan, N.; Jumpertz von Schwartzenberg, R.; Blüher, M.; Lechner, A.; Clavel, J.; Kopf, S.; Szendrödi, J.; Roden, M.; Wagner, R.; Fritsche, A.; Birkenfeld, A. L.; Icks, A.
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Background Lifestyle interventions can increase the probability of remission of prediabetes to normal glucose tolerance, but their economic value remains unclear. We assessed the within-trial and lifetime-horizon modeled cost-effectiveness of intensive and conventional lifestyle interventions in risk-stratified participants with prediabetes. Methods A health economic evaluation was conducted alongside the 12-month multicenter PLIS trial (n=1,105). High-risk participants were randomized to intensive (HR-INT) or conventional (HR-CONV); low-risk participants to conventional lifestyle intervention (LR-CONV) or control (only short single consultation; LR-CTRL) with risk stratification based on insulin secretion, insulin sensitivity, and liver fat content. Within-trial analyses estimated incremental costs per additional remission to normoglycemia and per quality-adjusted life year (QALY). Lifetime cost-effectiveness was modelled using a four-state Markov Model. Findings At 12 months, HR-INT and LR-CONV increased remission compared with their respective comparators. The incremental cost per additional remission was {euro}7,081 (95% CI: dominated-47,277) for HR-INT and {euro}4,278 (1,312-11,793) for LR-CONV from a health insurance perspective. A willingness-to-pay of {euro}22,000 (HR-INT) and {euro}7,500 (LR-CONV) per additional remission corresponded to 90% probability of cost-effectiveness. Neither intervention was cost-effective in terms of QALYs gained within the 12-months period. Lifetime modelling suggested that both HR-INT and LR-CONV are not only cost-effective, but also cost-saving, relative to HR-CONV and LR-CTRL, respectively. Also in the probabilistic sensitivity analysis, most simulations indicated dominance (71.7% for HR and 88% for LR). Interpretation Based on short-term economic evaluation, the interventions assessed were cost-effective regarding additional participants with remission, not for incremental QALYs gained. Lifetime modelling suggests cost savings for both risk groups. Targeting populations with lifestyle interventions to achieve prediabetes remission seems to generate good value for money in the long term.
Franzese, F.; Bergmann, M.; Burzynska, A.
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Socioeconomic inequalities in health and well-being are a major public health concern, particularly in ageing populations. Education is a key determinant shaping multiple aspects of health outcomes. We used cross-sectional data from wave 9 of the German sample (n=4,148) of the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) to test whether formal education is associated with well-being in later adulthood, with health literacy, self-rated health, and preventive health behaviours as possible mediators. Our results showed that education was positively associated with greater well-being, but only via indirect pathways. Specifically, self-rated health, health literacy, and fruit and vegetable consumption mediated the relationship between education and well-being accounting for 54.7, 24.7, and 12.6 percent of the total effect, respectively. In addition, there were significant positive correlations between education and health literacy, as well as high-intensity physical activity, daily fruit and vegetable consumption, more preventive health check-ups, and less smoking. In contrast, alcohol consumption was more common among those with higher levels of education. All health behaviours and health literacy were correlated directly or indirectly (i.e., mediated by health) with well-being. These findings highlight the importance of examining indirect pathways linking education to well-being in later life. Interventions aimed at improving health literacy and promoting healthy behaviours may help reduce educational inequalities in quality of life among older adults. About the SHARE Working Paper SeriesThe SHARE Working Paper Series started in 2011 and collects pre-publication versions of papers or book chapters, technical and methodological reports as well as policy papers based on SHARE data. The working papers are not reviewed by the publisher (SHARE-ERIC), layout and editing are not standardized. The publisher takes no responsibility for the scientific content of the paper. Working Papers can be updated - a version number is indicated on the front page. Previous versions are available upon request.
Murtaja, L.; Abdeljawad, H.; Najim, A.; Rodgers, J.; Almukbel, R.; Mokbel, K.
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Background/Objectives: Children aged 6-24 months are highly vulnerable to malnutrition during conflict because they depend on breastfeeding, complementary feeding and functioning nutrition services. This study assessed nutritional status, socioeconomic correlates, maternal knowledge and primary health care centre (PHCC) nutrition service gaps in Gaza. Subjects/Methods: This cross-sectional study was conducted at Al-Daraj Martyrs Health Centre, one of the remaining functioning PHCCs in Gaza City during the study period, between late August and October 2025. Mother-child pairs were recruited by convenience sampling. Of 276 approached, 200 were included after non-response and exclusion of questionnaires with missing anthropometric data. Data came from structured interviews and medical records; haemoglobin results were available for 55 children. Results: Stunting affected 12.5% of children, underweight 20.1%, wasting 20.8%, and anaemia 63.6% of the haemoglobin-tested subsample. Underweight was associated with household food shortage (p=0.013) and previous malnutrition treatment (p=0.002), wasting with child age category (p=0.0024), and anaemia with paternal unemployment (p=0.020). Maternal knowledge and practice scores were positively correlated (r=0.177, p=0.012), but neither was independently associated with stunting or underweight in adjusted models. PHCC nutrition support was limited, with 71.0% of mothers reporting nurse-provided nutrition advice and 52.5% reporting growth-chart review. Conclusions: In this clinic-based sample from conflict-affected Gaza, malnutrition among children aged 6-24 months was substantial. The overall pattern suggests that nutritional risk was shaped more by structural deprivation and weakened PHCC support than by maternal knowledge alone. These findings underline the need to restore essential nutrition services and improve access to adequate food for young children.
Xi, D.; Evangelopoulos, D.; Barnes, C.; Chandakas, E.; Vardavas, C.; Katsaounou, P.; Vineis, P.; Filippidis, F. T.; Konstantinoudis, G.
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Background Heatwaves increasingly threaten public health in the Mediterranean region, and Greece is among the hardest hit countries. Yet evidence on long-term adaptation, spatial vulnerability, and the contribution of human-induced climate change to heatwave-related mortality in Greece remains limited. Methods We analysed 2,144,957 all cause deaths in Greece during 2000 and 2019 using a time stratified case crossover design. We derived population weighted daily maximum temperatures at NUTS3 level from ERA5 reanalysis and WorldPop. We applied six heatwave definitions (HD1-HD6) varying by duration (2 or 3 consecutive days or more) and thresholds (90th, 95th, 99th percentiles). We fitted Bayesian hierarchical Poisson models to estimate heatwave-mortality associations varying by space and time. We additionally adjusted for relative humidity and national. We then combined these estimates with probabilistic climate attribution methods to quantify the number and proportion of heatwave-related deaths attributable to human induced climate change. Results Heatwaves raised mortality consistently, with relative risks from 1.08 (95% CrI (Credible Interval): 1.07- 1.09; HD1) to 1.15 (1.11- 1.20; HD6). Risks increased with heatwave intensity and duration and peaked among females and adults aged 85 years and older. We did not detect a consistent temporal decline in risk or marked spatial heterogeneity. Human induced climate accounted for 51-94% of heatwave related deaths across definitions. The proportion attributable to climate change rose over time. Conclusions Heatwaves already impose a major mortality burden in Greece, with more than half driven by anthropogenic climate change and little evidence of population level adaptation. These findings call for rapid emissions reductions and targeted adaptation, including stronger heat health warning systems and protection of vulnerable groups.
Ball, W. P.; Kyle, R. G.; Atherton, I. M.
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Background Health inequalities between occupational or social class groups are pervasive and persistent. Healthcare professionals have better health outcomes compared to the general population. Whether this is a result of healthcare education, favourable socio-demographic characteristics among professionals or other effects is not certain and the extent to which single healthcare occupational groups exhibit inequalities is unknown. We have described self-rated health and quantified geographic health inequalities among a single occupational group of Registered Nurses compared to the general population. Methods We analysed nationally representative samples from the 2011 UK Censuses across England, Wales and Scotland in the Office for National Statistics Longitudinal Study and Scottish Longitudinal Study. Self-rated health and socio-demographic characteristics for the study population are described. Inequalities in health by area deprivation among Registered Nurses and the General Population are quantified. Logistic regression analysis was used to assess the association between Nurse status and self-rated health, adjusting for socio-demographic variables. Results Among economically active, working age adults (n = 478,802), we identified 9,180 Registered Nurses resident in England, Wales and Scotland. 59% of Registered Nurses reported very good self-rated health, with only 1% reporting poor or very poor health. A smaller proportion of Registered Nurses reported less than good health than the General Population at every level of area deprivation and had smaller absolute (4.1 percentage points vs. 9.1) and relative (RR: 1.5 vs. 2.0) inequalities between residents in the most and least deprived areas. Registered Nurses have an increased likelihood of reporting good or better health compared to the general population (Scotland OR: 1.3, 95% CI: 1.2 - 1.5, England & Wales OR: 1.4, 95% CI: 1.3 - 1.5) after adjusting for socio-demographic factors. Discussion Registered Nurses report better health compared to the general population and have smaller inequalities in health by area deprivation. However, unfair and avoidable geographical differences in health are present even in this socioeconomically privileged professional group. After adjusting for socioeconomic and demographic factors, the positive association between being a Registered Nurse and having good self-rated health remained.
Bondzie, E. P. K.; Adjei-Banuah, N. Y.; Afun, N. E. E.; Peprah, E. B.; Jahan, Y.; Mirzoev, T.; Balabanova, D.; Agyepong, I.
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Type 2 Diabetes (T2D) is a growing public health burden in West Africa, yet the effectiveness of lifestyle interventions for glycemic control in this region remains unclear. This systematic review and meta-analysis evaluated the impact of lifestyle interventions on Fasting Blood Glucose (FBG) and Glycated Hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels among adults with T2D in West Africa. A systematic search of PubMed, Scopus, Africa Journals Online, and Cairn.info was conducted following PRISMA guidelines. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and quasi-experimental studies evaluating lifestyle interventions (physical activity, dietary modification, and combined/educational interventions) for glycemic control in adults with T2D in West Africa were included. Meta-analysis was performed via a random-effects model with restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimation, using mean differences (MD) as the effect measure for both FBG and HbA1c outcomes. Heterogeneity was assessed via I2 statistics, and sensitivity, subgroup, and meta-regression analyses were conducted to examine potential moderators of the observed heterogeneity. Ten studies comprising 645 participants were included. Six studies reported FBG outcomes; however, two were excluded from the FBG meta-analysis due to missing control group post-test values and absence of a control group respectively, leaving four studies for pooling. A separate set of four studies contributed to the HbA1c meta-analysis. For FBG, lifestyle interventions were associated with reduction in FBG levels (pooled MD = -1.81 mmol/L, 95% CI: -2.33 to -1.30, p < 0.001), with moderate heterogeneity (I2 = 50.76%). The certainty of evidence assessed using the GRADE approach was rated as low for FBG outcomes and very low for HbA1c outcomes, reflecting concerns about imprecision and inconsistency across studies. Leave-one-out sensitivity analysis confirmed robustness of this finding, with estimates ranging from -1.707 to -2.087 mmol/L. Neither intervention duration nor sample size significantly moderated FBG effect sizes, with the model explaining approximately 15.7% of observed heterogeneity. For HbA1c, lifestyle interventions were also associated with reduction in HbA1c levels (pooled MD = -1.044%, 95% CI: -1.594 to -0.495, p = 0.0002), though heterogeneity was exceptionally high (I2 = 98.08%), limiting interpretability of the pooled estimate. Exploratory meta-regression identified intervention duration and sample size as statistically associated with HbA1c effect size, though the model was saturated given the small number of studies and findings should not be interpreted as confirmatory evidence of moderation. Conclusion: Lifestyle interventions, including supervised physical activity, dietary modification, and community-based diabetes education, were generally associated with improvements in glycemic control among adults with type 2 diabetes in West Africa. Evidence was more consistent for fasting blood glucose, while findings for HbA1c were highly heterogeneous and should be interpreted with caution. These results suggest potential benefit, but variability across studies highlights the need for more standardized and rigorously designed trials in the region.
Scanlon, I.; Rawlings, A.; Tucker, D.; Thayer, D. S.; Evans, H. T.; Given, J.; Jones, S.; Loane, M.; Morgan, C.; Morris, J. K.; Jordan, S.
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Background Education outcomes predict life chances. However, poverty, ill-health and disability are barriers to achievement. We examined determinants of academic attainment of children with and without major congenital anomalies in state-funded mainstream schools at ages 11 and 16 (key stages [KS] 2 and 4). Methods and Findings Routinely collected electronic records for children born in Wales 01/01/1998-31/12/2007 until 31/12/2019 were linked in the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage (SAIL) Databank. Education outcomes were explored using logistic regression, adjusting for: anomalies, maternal and child deprivation, prescribing, hospitalisation, gestation length, childs sex, and special education needs (SEN) provision. Children with anomalies were less likely to achieve academic standards: however, attainment was more closely associated with affluence. At age 11, 81.87% (7167/8754) with and 93.80% (232,450/247,814) without anomalies passed (odds ratio [OR] 0.30, 95% confidence intervals [CI] 0.28-0.32). At age 16, 46.76% (2070/4427) with and 56.10% (69,732/124,300) without anomalies achieved 5 General Certificates of Secondary Education (GCSEs) at grades C-A* including English/Welsh, Maths and Science (EWMS) (OR 0.69, 0.65-0.73). Discrepancies narrowed in adjusted analyses, particularly when SEN provision was accounted: aOR 0.72 (0.66-0.78) at KS2, and aOR 0.93, (0.87-1.00) for 5 GCSEs C-A* with EWMS. These GCSEs were achieved by 29.65% (307/1034) children with anomalies and 38.42% (10,875/28,305) of unaffected children in the most deprived quintile{dagger}: in the most affluent quintile, figures were 67.57% (547/810) and 74.98% (16,978/22,644). Children with anomalies, receiving maximum SEN support, eligible for Free School Meals (FSM) were the least successful: 5/192 (2.6%) passed 5 GCSEs C-A* with EWMS, as did 37/354 (10.4%) ineligible for FSM. The strongest associations with these GCSEs were SEN statements (aOR 0.07, 0.06-0.07), FSM eligibility (aOR 0.39, 0.37-0.41), and epilepsy (aOR 0.60, 0.45-0.80). However, data were unavailable for 15-18% of children, mainly those educated outside mainstream schools, and some co-morbidities. Generalisation of findings to other countries rests with readers. Conclusions Many children with anomalies from affluent households succeeded. The children left behind lived with poverty and ill-health from congenital anomalies and/or epilepsy. SEN provision mitigated the impact of disadvantage, but poor children with anomalies were unlikely to succeed. {dagger}taking maternal Welsh Index of Multiple Deprivation (WIMD) 2014 at birth.
Coelho, J. A. P. d. M.; Nascimento da Paixao, A.; Guimaraes Almeida, B.; Näslund-Hadley, E.
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BackgroundChildhood sensory and intellectual disabilities represent significant yet under-recognized barriers to learning and human capital development. This study analyzes prevalence and severity of these conditions among 149.3 million children aged 5-19 years across 25 countries in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) using Global Burden of Disease 2023 data. MethodsWe extracted GBD 2023 estimates for vision loss, hearing loss, and intellectual disability across 25 LAC countries, stratified by age, sex, and severity. Regional estimates were calculated using population-weighted averages. Severity distributions were compared with OECD countries to contextualize regional patterns. ResultsThese conditions are estimated to affected 9,282,921 children (6.22%; 95% UI: 5.89-6.54%). Hearing loss was predominant, affecting an estimated 5.42 million (3.63%, 3.41-3.86), with 87.6% mild-to-moderate. Intellectual disability estimated to affected 2.56 million (1.71%, 1.58-1.85), with 61.7% borderline-to-mild. Vision loss estimated to affected 1.30 million (0.87%, 0.79-0.96), with 89% that can be effectively addressed with spectacles. Prevalence increased with age across all conditions. Male predominance was consistent for intellectual disability (2.00% vs 1.42%). Annual economic cost totaled US$19.3-29.0 billion, while comprehensive interventions would require US$9.45-14.23 billion with benefit-cost ratios of 2:1 to 15:1. ConclusionsThe distribution of children across milder levels of difficulty underscores the opportunity for education and public health systems to provide timely and accessible support. With approximately 88% of sensory impairments addressable through established technologies, investments in inclusive services can yield strong social and economic returns.
Smeeth, D.; Keynejad, R. C.; Catalao, R.; Luck, G.; Wood, D.; Wilson, C. A.
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BACKGROUND: The UK National Institute for Health and Care Excellence recommends routine enquiry about domestic violence and abuse (DVA) in maternity care. We aimed to explore patterns and predictors of DVA enquiry during routine first antenatal care ( booking) appointments with midwives in South East London. METHODS: We conducted an observational cohort study using cross-sectional data collected through the St Thomas Hospital midwifery service between 1st January 2019 and 31st March 2023. Pseudonymised data were extracted from maternity records, comprising demographics, mental and physical health information, social factors, and DVA enquiry. We used linear mixed modelling to test associations between predictors and DVA enquiry. RESULTS: The dataset comprised 7,932 booking appointments with 7,007 women (median age: 32 years; ethnicity: 52% White, 27% Black, 7% Asian, and 15% other). Enquiry was made about current experiences of DVA in 79.4% of appointments. Black-identifying women (OR=1.28, 95% CI [1.11,1.46]) and those born in Sub-Saharan Africa (OR=1.37 [1.14,1.64]) were more likely to be asked than white-identifying and UK-born women. Single women were more likely to be asked than married or cohabiting women (OR=1.22 [1.08,1.38]). Those living in more deprived neighbourhoods were more likely to be asked (OR=1.07 [1.01,1.14]). Multivariable modelling found that being born in Sub-Saharan Africa or Southern Europe, and living alone but with additional support were all associated with increased DVA enquiry, while being born in North America or requiring an interpreter were associated with decreased enquiry CONCLUSIONS: Despite recommendations for routine DVA enquiry during all booking appointments, a substantial proportion of pregnant individuals were not asked between 2019 to 2023. Predictors of DVA enquiry reflected practical barriers (e.g. language), and known or perceived predictors of DVA risk (e.g. deprivation). Our findings suggest that midwives consciously or unconsciously prioritise DVA enquiry for women they believe are at greatest risk, against national guidelines.
Poquet, D.; Le Gal, C.; Hincker, P.; Beghin, L.; Deplanque, D.; Subtil, D.; Sion, O.; Cavalli, B.; VANHOUTTE, L.; Jacobsen, V.; Marr, K.; Sakellaris, I.; de Lauzon Guillain, B.; Charles, M.-A.; Ley, D.; Sauvegrain, P.; Lioret, S.
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Background: The ECAIL trial, launched in 2017, targets hard-to-reach families and evaluates a multicomponent childhood obesity prevention intervention. At a maternity hospital in Lille, France, healthcare providers screened pregnant women experiencing social vulnerability, and dietitians delivered a home-based intervention until age 2. The COVID-19 pandemic led to a six-month suspension in 2020. This study compared eligibility and participation before the pandemic and after resumption, and examined how the pandemic and subsequent cost-of-living crisis shaped implementation and reach. Methods: We analyzed 5,744 eligibility questionnaires distributed at the maternity ward. Inclusion criteria included [≥]1 indicator of social vulnerability (e.g., socioeconomic disadvantage, precarious housing, or social isolation). To capture implementation experiences, a psychosocial researcher conducted a focus group with six dietitians delivering the intervention; it was recorded, transcribed, and analyzed thematically focusing on reach, acceptability, and adaptation. Results: Eligibility increased from 29.7% (n=955) prepandemic to 33.6% (n=849) after resumption, while the distribution of vulnerability criteriaremainedsimilar across periods:78.3% received social/medical benefits; employment was not the main source of household income for 58.7%; 24.4% experienced financial hardship; 14.7% reported social isolation; 6.0% lived in precarious housing; and 19.0% had three or more vulnerabilities. Participation among eligible women remained stable (24.6%; n=443). Qualitative findings indicated dietitians satisfaction and participants enthusiasm for the resumption of home visits, particularly in addressing social isolation. After resumption, the introduction of a pre-visit COVID-19 questionnaire reduced missed appointments. Converging qualitative and quantitative findings indicated sustained, and in some cases strengthened, provider engagement despite pandemic-related strain on hospital services. Conclusions: This study shows that a complex intervention can maintain reach and acceptability through adaptive implementation under major contextual disruptions.The rapid resumption of home-based services emerged as a robust strategy for engaging and retaining socially disadvantaged families, highlighting the importance of flexible, context-sensitive approaches during social and economic crises.